Prediction markets
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Podcast: Conway Dodge on the risks and opportunities of prediction markets
We discuss how this market offers opportunities for crowd forecasting and hedging certain risks but also carries significant risks regarding market manipulation, regulatory uncertainty, and more.
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Second prediction market insider trading case targets Google employee
A Google software engineer allegedly used confidential search data to make around $1.2m on “near-perfect” search term predictions.
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Enforcement Watch: May 2026
A regular overview of notable enforcement cases and trends in the US.
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Framing the issue: Prediction markets
How will different jurisdictions regulate prediction markets?
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European Commission seeks feedback on MiCA amid evolving crypto-assets markets
Ahead of a 2027 report, the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regime will be assessed for its overall functioning, with specific focus on reviews related to crypto-asset service providers, stablecoins, and market abuse.
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FINRA Annual 2026: Talking AI and prediction markets
Speakers tackled emerging developments in crypto, AI, prediction markets and other critical regulatory topics shaping financial services entities.
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DOJ and CFTC bring first parallel insider trading cases, signaling new enforcement era
Observations on what these charges may signal for prediction markets, for the government’s evolving enforcement toolkit, and for market participants.
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UK prediction markets, insider information, and the law
A discussion on whether placing a bet on inside information constitutes “cheating” and the related issue of market manipulation.