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High trust, high scrutiny – operating in the Nordic-Baltic region

Frozen section of the Baltic Sea
Photo: Brook Mitchell/Getty Images

The Nordic-Baltic region’s highly integrated, digitally savvy environment grounds itself in dialogue and collaboration – and presents demanding roles for compliance professionals.

Northern Europe is the home of the Nordic and Baltic countries, united by their relatively small populations, high institutional capacity, export-focused economies, and deep integration into European and transatlantic frameworks. 

The Nordic countries – Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Iceland – are well-established economies (and welfare states), with longstanding EU membership and mature political and regulatory systems. The Baltic countries – Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania – are newer EU Member States, characterized by quick-paced digital transformation and institutional growth.

Both groups have their similarities and differences. All eight countries are part of the European Economic Area (EEA), with all except Norway and Iceland being EU members. Finland, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia have chosen the euro as their currency and so are also part of the eurozone, whereas the other half of the group (Sweden, Denmark, Norway, and Iceland) prefer their own currencies for now.

The financial markets in the region are well-developed and interconnected, with many Nordic financial sector players opening subsidiaries in the Baltic countries. The Baltic countries have captured the spotlight with a favorable environment for fintech and technological development.

In defense and security, all countries are members of NATO and collaborate on a regional level as part of the so-called Nordic Baltic Eight (NB8). 

The shared political and security framework brings with it a predictable regulatory environment, where EU laws provide the basis and national governments and authorities are tasked with interpretation and enforcement.

This close alignment does not result in a simplistic compliance landscape. While cross-border cooperation is facilitated by EU mandates, the national realities in the Nordic and Baltic countries are frequently shaped by higher-than-EU levels of ambition or a different approach to effective supervision. The key? Dialogue, competitiveness, and trust.

Trust as infrastructure

The Nordic countries are ranked very highly for their levels of trust – that is, the trust people place on each other, public institutions, and society. The Baltic states are rapidly adopting a similar high-governance model, fostering regional cohesion and shared values.

The high level of trust is seen as a managed resource rather than a question of providence.  Dubbed The Nordic Gold, trust is the outcome of well-crafted social and political processes shaped over decades.

High levels of social trust benefit people and the economy. Trust reduces transaction costs – the costs for ensuring that an agreement is fulfilled. Research carried out at Aarhus University has revealed that a 10 percentage point increase in social trust can lead to an economic growth increase of half a percentage point.

For the business environment, trust is not about reducing compliance expectations – rather, it raises the bar. Regulatory adherence and strong governance are a prerequisite, and missteps usually trigger a strong public and regulatory response.

In recent years, geopolitical situations have brought challenges and changes to the concept of trust, but leaders remain confident that trust is the tool that will lead to dialogue, collaboration and, ultimately, solutions.

Sustainability as a strategy

The strong governance culture is a significant contributor to the sustainability/environmental, social and governance agenda in the region. The Nordic countries have historically been more focused on long termism as an approach that could lead to greater competitiveness and better quality of life.

In 2019, the Nordic prime ministers adopted a vision for Nordic collaboration aiming for the region to become the most integrated and most sustainable in the world by 2030 – green, competitive, and socially sustainable.

The Nordic countries have been early adopters of renewable energy technologies, first movers in the issuing of green bonds and in the design of innovative financial products targeting climate change.

At the same time, transparency initiatives stemming from Brussels and targeting the financial sector and corporates were being implemented to higher standards.

In the Baltic countries the push towards sustainability is mostly aligned with the EU corporate sustainability agenda. However, Russia’s war against Ukraine has raised concerns about energy dependency – and fuelled the need for a faster green transition.

Digital agenda and innovation

While the Nordic countries have larger, mature economies that have embraced digitalization early, the Baltic states’ systems were made digital by design. Estonia is perhaps the best example of this approach – national ID systems, e-residency, and e-government platforms mean that almost 100% of the country’s public services are digital.

Across the region, AI strategies are emerging with cybersecurity a supervisory priority, particularly for financial services. Denmark is set to lead the Nordic-Baltic Cybersecurity Consortium, a Dkr 100m ( $15.8m) initiative to increase joint procurement and cybersecurity cooperation.

These digital ambitions, paired with robust regulatory demands stemming from digital operational resilience laws, translate into heightened expectations from compliance teams to ensure high data protection standards and ethical technology use.

But digital ambition and regulatory scrutiny can coexist – and nowhere is this more visible than in the Baltics, where supervisory dialogue and quick scale-up have put the region on the fintech shortlist.

Size does not play a role, either. Despite small domestic markets, the region punches above its weight in terms of innovation. Vilnius, Helsinki, Stockholm, and Tallinn are home to dynamic start-ups across sectors such as clean energy, gaming and deep tech. High per-capita unicorn formation is a testament of global companies potentially being able to emerge from small local economies. The cross-border cooperation, regulatory demands and governance expectations make compliance central for scaling efforts.

Modern day challenges

In the Nordic countries, where social and institutional trust is traditionally high, reputational missteps can have prolonged consequences. This dynamic was evident in the public and regulatory reaction to the various regional money-laundering scandals in 2019. While investigations are still ongoing, regional regulators have since adopted a more proactive and stringent enforcement approach.

Recent geopolitical changes have brought higher levels of uncertainty in the region – not weakening trust and ambition but reshaping these. The Nordic-Baltic region sits on the frontline of Europe’s shifting geopolitical landscape, which has resulted in sensitivities in supply chains, re-prioritization of defence, and heightened focus on compliance.

If anything, geopolitical tensions seem to have strengthened the level of trust in the institutional setup and accelerated investments in cybersecurity. Digitalization is now more than just about efficiency and competitiveness, but also about security and good governance.

Across Europe, including the Baltics and Nordics, there is a growing discussion around regulatory simplification for the purpose of competitiveness and reduced administrative burdens. The regional response has been nuanced – rather than simply deregulation, the emphasis has been placed on smarter regulation, drawing on the strengths of the region and long-term growth potential, particularly in the area of financial services.

High expectations

Operating in the Nordic-Baltic region means engaging in a high-trust, high-scrutiny environment. Innovation and ambition are welcomed, but remain closely supervised, and regulatory culture is transparent, dialogue-based – and demanding.

With the focus on ESG, digitalization, and high innovation potential, the regulatory ecosystem shifts the role of compliance from merely a responsibility to a potential strategic advantage for businesses.