The regulator's investigation did not reach a clear conclusion on whether competition law was infringed or not, and the traders themselves have not made any admissions.
Insider trading
We discuss how this market offers opportunities for crowd forecasting and hedging certain risks but also carries significant risks regarding market manipulation, regulatory uncertainty, and more.
From June 5, 2026, EU Listing Act amendments will change criteria stipulating when issuers must disclose certain inside information under MAR.
A Google software engineer allegedly used confidential search data to make around $1.2m on “near-perfect” search term predictions.
Our regular look at notable regulatory and compliance developments in the region.
A regular overview of notable enforcement cases and trends in the US.
Observations on what these charges may signal for prediction markets, for the government’s evolving enforcement toolkit, and for market participants.
Enforcement
Premium
Prediction marketplace shakedown: Insider trading charges and exclusive jurisdiction claims
For the first time in US history, a criminal case has been filed alleging insider trading on prediction markets.