How recent bank failures provide lessons for crisis management

Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS, recently spoke at the high-level meeting on banking supervision for the Americas.

Recent bank failures in the United States and Switzerland have prompted a debate about the adequacy of the current prudential framework for preserving financial stability.

Following the 2008 financial crisis, authorities adopted several measures to make bank failure management frameworks less dependent on public support. The Financial Stability Board issued new international standards to enable the orderly resolution of global systemically important banks and other banks that are systemic in failure. These sought to ensure that failing banks’ critical functions could continue, while keeping the involvement of national treasuries to a minimum.

The 2023 bank failures were the first significant test of those reforms. Carstens said: “I think it’s fair to say that their performance was mixed. The interventions by the Swiss and US authorities did preserve systemic stability – a key objective of resolution frameworks. But both involved public support. And in Switzerland, the authorities opted to impose losses on some creditors without using the resolution framework.”

An employee of Lehman Brothers carries a box out of the company’s HQ during the 2008 financial crisis. Photo: Chris Hondros/Getty Images

Key features of failure

Key features of the bank failures and the strategies that were adopted in the United States and in Switzerland.

United States

In early March 2023, the US regional banking sector experienced severe stress. Two banks failed: Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank. Both had:

  • a high proportion of uninsured deposits; and
  • experienced large and rapid deposit outflows amid concerns about the sustainability of their business models.

Over a couple of days, the FDIC took both banks into receivership, created temporary bridge banks and eventually sold the banks in the market.

This resolution strategy was possible only because the US authorities invoked a “systemic risk exception”. This allowed authorities to override the usual limits on the amount of funds the FDIC can use to finance a resolution. With it, the FDIC could cover all deposits, including the large amounts that were not insured. Shareholders and certain unsecured debtholders were not protected.

Switzerland

A week after the US bank failures, following an acute liquidity crisis at Credit Suisse, the Swiss authorities announced that UBS and Credit Suisse would merge and provided liquidity support for this process. This was described as a “commercial transaction”. Importantly, the merger was supported by decrees enacted using emergency powers, which allowed the Swiss National Bank to provide liquidity support to UBS and Credit Suisse.

The transaction also involved the contractual writedown, in full, of all the outstanding Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital instruments issued by Credit Suisse. However, Credit Suisse shareholders retained some residual equity.

A Credit Suisse sign outside its Manhattan offices. Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

How resolution worked in practice

These cases demonstrated that Switzerland and the United States had effective crisis management frameworks that enabled the authorities to deal with a range of cases.

Carstens said: “The authorities were well prepared. They had sufficient powers, tools and funds to manage the failing banks in an orderly manner. And the frameworks gave them enough flexibility to adapt their responses to the prevailing conditions. The latter is important since new technologies combined with social media can lead to a fast-burning crisis of liquidity and confidence, leaving the authorities with only a short window in which to make decisions and implement them.”

Both the Swiss and US authorities provided funding through a combination of internal and external sources.

  • Internal resources came through the writedown of at least part of the equity and hybrid capital.
  • External support came from the deposit insurance fund and through public guarantees. In the Credit Suisse case, the write-off of AT1 instruments substantially reduced the costs to taxpayers. It also proved, contrary to the fears of some observers, that a writedown of G-SIB debt instruments is feasible without destabilising markets in any deep or persistent way.

While the responses were effective, Carstens noted, “the authorities had to depart from the expected approach”.

US and Switzerland main differences in supervisory approaches

For the US, the use of the systemic risk exception was required to mitigate the risk of systemic stress in the banking sector. However, the failing banks had not been considered systemic in life and were consequently subject to less stringent prudential requirements, including for resolution planning.

For Switzerland, the authorities decided not to use statutory resolution powers to execute the resolution plan. Instead, they opted for a merger transaction that they judged to be less disruptive to financial stability. Although writing down AT1 instruments delivered significant loss absorption, the resolution plan would have bailed in a wider set of liabilities and therefore involved less public support.

“Resolution frameworks and resolution planning cannot replace supervision.”

Agustín Carstens, General Manager, Bank for International Settlements

Carstens said: “This approach also overturned the expected hierarchy of creditor losses that would have applied if Credit Suisse had been put into resolution. Although that was anticipated in the AT1 contracts, it nevertheless had significant, albeit relatively short-lived, repercussions in the market for AT1 instruments.”

In both the Swiss and US cases, special facilities provided liquidity. Carstens said: “The Swiss government used emergency powers to enable the central bank to provide liquidity with government guarantees. That liquidity was not fully collateralized. In the United States, the Federal Reserve created a new funding programme offering loans of up to one year against collateral valued at par.”

A security guard at Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 days after its collapse. Photo: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Areas for improvement

Carstens said: “Even if the writedown of AT1 instruments helped reduce the costs to the public purse, greater loss-absorbing capacity in the failing banks would have been preferable.”

A fundamental lesson from the 2008 financial crisis was that banks’ shareholders and creditors should bear a large share of the cost of their resolution. Work has been carried out internationally over the past few years to make bail-in operational. Carstens said that the work is incomplete and “authorities need to be confident that they can execute a bail-in and markets must believe that a preferred bail-in strategy is not just words on paper”.

He added: “Banks should have sufficient liabilities to absorb losses in resolution”. Currently, international standards require only the largest banks to maintain minimum gone-concern loss-absorbing liabilities.

To make progress in this area, Carsten suggests that other banks should do the same. In the European Union, the requirement applies to all large and medium-sized banks. In the United States, a consultation is under way on a proposed requirement that banks should hold a larger amount of long-term debt, which can be bailed in to manage their failure.

Writedown of hybrid capital instruments

The sale strategy for Credit Suisse wiped out holders of AT1 instruments. Many market participants were insufficiently aware of the contractual terms of individual AT1 instruments and the differences between the applicable frameworks in different jurisdictions. As a result, Carstens noted: “There seems to be merit in pursuing work aimed at improving the disclosure and understanding of the terms and operation of AT1 instruments. This would reduce the risk of adverse market reactions.”

Cross-border application of resolution tools

In the resolution of any large bank, there will always be a cross-border dimension. Resolution actions in one country will need to apply to the bank’s operations elsewhere. This is both a legal issue – how do resolution powers apply across borders? – and a question of cooperation between authorities.

Carstens observed: “Good communication with foreign counterparts is essential to effective resolution. This includes financial authorities in jurisdictions where the failing bank is locally systemic, even if those local operations are not systemic from the perspective of the failing bank or its home authorities.”

When preparing for a possible resolution, it can be hard for authorities to maintain secrecy about the expected intervention while keeping counterparts informed. However, “it can aid communication to involve all relevant parties in resolution planning and establish the necessary communication channels in advance”, Carstens said.

Review liquidity frameworks

Liquidity played a significant role in the recent bank failures, both as drivers of the failures and as a crisis management tool. Both the Swiss and US authorities provided liquidity support on special conditions. Carstens said: “Ad hoc facilities are generally less desirable than an established framework.”

Further work is required on three aspects relevant to liquidity:

  • Improve the supervision of liquidity risk.
  • Review the operational aspects of Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA). Carstens gave the example, “pre-positioning and assessment of collateral may ease the provision of ELA to stressed banks”.
  • Countries should have in place frameworks for the provision of liquidity in resolution with the assurance that sufficient liquidity will be available to support the effective resolution of bank failures with a systemic dimension.

Room for improvement

The progress in bank resolution has been effective. Carstens observed that authorities “took prompt and credible action to contain the crisis. In doing so, they preserved financial stability and prevented cross-border contagion”.

However, he warned “the work is incomplete, and some elements of the framework require attention. Issues such as banks’ loss-absorption capacity, the practical execution of bail-in and the cross-border challenges it involves, and the provision of liquidity in resolution are not new, or a surprise to the authorities working over the last decade to build robust resolution frameworks.”

Whilst acknowledging authorities cannot anticipate all the issues that may arise in a bank failure, “they may need to depart from script”, he said, adding “sound planning can help them to respond quickly and flexibly, and to adapt their strategies to the circumstances of the failure.

“Furthermore, we should not forget that resolution frameworks and resolution planning cannot replace supervision. Where the root cause of a bank’s weakness is an unsustainable business model, robust and proactive supervision is the more appropriate response.”